Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.477756 1.599188 1.727565 1.873684 2.035737 2.210348 2.413246
2025-12-28 1.293319 1.460483 1.647003 1.871656 2.136364 2.440150 2.817748
2026-01-04 1.181634 1.377015 1.603975 1.889379 2.241902 2.667297 3.225956
2026-01-11 1.101628 1.316617 1.574623 1.910777 2.342686 2.886653 3.636059
2026-01-18 1.036999 1.266017 1.548554 1.928055 2.432712 3.092843 4.042427
2026-01-25 0.977644 1.215507 1.516025 1.930544 2.498760 3.267681 4.418132
2026-02-01 0.910553 1.149304 1.456976 1.890945 2.501363 3.351850 4.668791
2026-02-08 0.857079 1.096827 1.411450 1.864492 2.517285 3.452243 4.948399
2026-02-15 0.815077 1.056660 1.379166 1.852766 2.551138 3.578459 5.276359
2026-02-22 0.793808 1.043000 1.381651 1.889328 2.656519 3.817854 5.805750
2026-03-01 0.759284 1.008777 1.352896 1.877746 2.687455 3.943430 6.159417
2026-03-08 0.723618 0.970940 1.316609 1.852064 2.693749 4.028772 6.451113
2026-03-15 0.678830 0.918573 1.257470 1.789506 2.639525 4.014343 6.571430
2026-03-22 0.656662 0.897785 1.243394 1.794978 2.694167 4.184442 7.044404
2026-03-29 0.639657 0.883568 1.238063 1.813287 2.770388 4.396795 7.621006
2026-04-05 0.624479 0.871193 1.234609 1.833906 2.851277 4.623445 8.252955
2026-04-12 0.609313 0.858017 1.229045 1.850372 2.925640 4.844098 8.900739
2026-04-19 0.591808 0.840422 1.215607 1.852749 2.975012 5.022207 9.482452
2026-04-26 0.566274 0.809410 1.179605 1.815148 2.950149 5.057062 9.758007
2026-05-03 0.545153 0.784386 1.151947 1.790023 2.945817 5.130445 10.127493
2026-05-10 0.528330 0.765410 1.133110 1.778885 2.966181 5.253681 10.626960
2026-05-17 0.522059 0.762779 1.140515 1.813613 3.074537 5.563476 11.612614
2026-05-24 0.506835 0.745256 1.122679 1.802612 3.094553 5.692392 12.174835